Antique on Patanjali Foods
Buy Call, Target Rs 2,144
Co Has Approved The Proposal To Acquire Patanjali Ayurved’s HPC Biz For Rs 1,100 Cr
Believe the acquisition is a positive move and should add to the company’s growth levers
The acquisition is expected to improve the profitability of overall business
The acquisition is at a very attractive valuation of 0.4x FY24 sales/ 2.2x FY24 EBITDA
In Our View, HPC Biz Profitability Is Stable & Sustainable Compared To The Oil & Food Biz
Jefferies on HDFC Bank
Buy Call, Target Rs1880
HDFC Bank’s shareholding for June’24 points that foreign shareholding fell to 54.83% vs 55.54% in Mar’24
MSCI’s threshold to raise foreign inclusion factor (FIF) from 50% to 100%
With that, the bank may be eligible for jump in index weight at next review in Aug’24
This could be positive near-term catalyst in stock
In medium term, strong deposit growth and improving NIMs should be key drivers
Citi on M&M Fin Svcs
Neutral Call, Target Rs 310
Co’s June Disbursements/Business Assets Growth Broadly In-Line With Estimates
For Q1FY25, Disbursements Of Rs 12,730 Cr Saw Growth Of 4.6% YoY
Business Assets Saw A Growth Of 3.7% QoQ In Q1
Collection Efficiency Of 95% In Jun’24 Was Below 96% Each In May’24 And Jun’23
For Q1, Collection Efficiency Stood At 94%, Stable YoY
As Expected, With Seasonality Q1, Witnessed An Increase In GS3 To 3.6% From 3.4% As Of FY24
We Bake-In Credit Cost Of Nearly 2.4% For Q1 And Estimate RoA Of 1.5%
NIMs are expected to moderate from a high base
Citi on Avenue Supermarts
Sell Call, Target Rs 3,400
Q1GY25 update shows no sign of growth acceleration; Watch Out For Margin Trajectory
The company’s Q1FY25 update highlighted 18.4% YoY revenue growth
Revenue Per Store Saw 3% Five-Year CAGR (5.3% YoY)
Rev/sqft Saw -1.5% 5-Yr Cagr (5% YoY Assuming Avg Store Size Of New Stores In-line With TTM Store Size)
Believe Revenue/sqft Continues To Be Impacted Due To Adverse Product Mix
Believe Revenue/sqft Continues To Be Impacted Due To New Store Additions In Smaller Towns
Store Additions During The Quarter Were 6, 3/10 In Q1FY24/Q1FY23 And 41/40 In FY24/FY23
Remain cautious on co at the current valuation given risks around store additions
Maintain Sell Rating, Implying 56x Mar’26 P/E (Vs Current Valuation Of 78x Mar’26 P/E)
ICICI Lombard on CLSA
Upgrade to outperform from hold, raise target to Rs 2,000
Co’s Motor Insurance Premiums Registered 31% YoY Growth In 2MFY25
Co’s Motor Ins Premiums Far Ahead Of Ind’s 15%
Worsening Of Peers’ Motor Third Party Loss Ratio Leading Them To Curtail Growth
Premiumisation Of Cars & Benefits From Motor Vehicle Act Could Also Be Aiding Motor Book
Have Raised Our Overall Premium Growth Estimate By Only 2% In FY25
believe momentum in motor book could persist.
We Lift Our Tgt Price As We Raise Our Gordon-Based Target PE Multiple To 30x
See 11% Potential Upside From Here
Bernstein on REC, PFC
Initiates Buy Call on REC, Target Rs 653
Initiates Buy Call On PFC, Target Rs 620
They Are One Of Our Most Preferred Plays In Power Cycle
Investors are under-estimating the duration and intensity of this power cycle
NPA risk for both is much lower this cycle
Both Have Better ROEs (>20%) & Growth (15%) Than Power Peers
They are trading cheaper than all of them, despite the rally
(8:41 am, 3/7/2024) +91 98330 43598: Prashanth Tapse, Senior VP (Research), Mehta Equities Ltd
Yesterday, Nifty dropped sharply after hitting an all-time high of 24,236.35 due to profit booking. FIIs were net sellers by ₹2000 crores, while DIIs bought ₹648 crores. Nifty is likely to trade between 23,500-24,500, with 24,500 as a major resistance level. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell’s remarks on inflation suggest a cautious market outlook. Key events include FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and the Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday. We recommend buying Nifty at 24,124 with targets of 24,251/24,501 and Bank Nifty between 51,900-52,000 with targets of 52,501/53,181. Top stock pick: HDFC AMC (CMP 4096) with targets of 4,187/4,301.