President Joe Biden has invited Donald Trump for a meeting at the White House today.
This is what we expect is likely to happen.
Guest List
The meeting takes place at 11am local time (4pm UK time). It’s unclear whether they’ll be joined by anyone else for the “meet and greet”.
The final plans are still fluid but, as of last night, vice president Kamala Harris wasn’t expected to attend and JD Vance, the vice president-elect, hadn’t received an invitation from her.
The future first lady, Melania Trump, has been invited to accompany her husband on the visit but it’s thought unlikely she will attend. She did make the visit in 2016 and had tea in the Yellow Oval Room with the then first lady Michelle Obama.
It’s unclear whether the current first lady, Dr Jill Biden, will participate, although she is scheduled to be at the White House.
Enemies Reunited
The Oval Office meeting will be the first between Mr Biden and Mr Trump since the pair shared a TV debate stage in Atlanta last June. It was the night Mr Biden’s gaffes cost him the candidacy.
On that occasion, there was no handshake between the two old enemies and the mood darkened as the verbal sparring began.
“I really don’t know what he said at the end of that sentence,” said Mr Trump. “I don’t think he knows what he said either.”
Mr Biden said of Mr Trump: “You’re the sucker, you’re the loser.”
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It was the language of loathing that has long characterised the pair’s interactions. In the past, Mr Biden has called Mr Trump a “threat to this nation”, and Mr Trump has called Mr Biden “stupid”, and a “low-IQ individual”.
And remember, Mr Trump has threatened to pursue retribution against Mr Biden, stating he would hire a “real special prosecutor” to go after him.
On this historic occasion, expect the coldest handshake in American history.
Precedent
Former president Barack Obama invited then president-elect Trump to meet at the White House two days after the 2016 election.
The sit-down in the Oval Office lasted approximately 90 minutes and Mr Obama called it “an excellent conversation” that was “wide-ranging”.
Then vice-president Biden met with then VP-elect Mike Pence during that time as well.
Six days later, the Bidens hosted the Pences at their home.
Mr Trump did not invite Mr Biden for a 2020 visit to the White House, while refusing to concede the election.
In snubbing Mr Biden, Mr Trump bucked a presidential tradition that had gone back decades.
Former president George W Bush hosted Mr Obama in 2008 and Laura Bush hosted Michelle Obama, while former president Bill Clinton hosted Mr Bush in 2000.
What will Mr Biden and Mr Trump discuss?
There is no published agenda but there’s every chance we’ll hear it first hand from either, or both. TV cameras will film the event and both men will have the opportunity to take questions.
Following his 2016 meeting with Mr Trump, then president Barack Obama said: “We talked about some of the organisational issues in setting up the White House. We talked about foreign policy.
“We talked about domestic policy and, as I said last night, my number-one priority in the coming two months is to try to facilitate a transition that ensures our president-elect is successful.”
It is a familiarisation meeting, as much as anything else. Senior staffers, on both sides, will also meet their counterparts.
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What’s in it for them?
For both men, this meeting symbolises an orderly transition of power.
Presidents, outgoing and incoming, working for the good of the country. It works for Mr Trump because why wouldn’t it? He won decisively and will survey the spoils.
It works for Mr Biden because a peaceful transition represents everything that, for him, Mr Trump doesn’t: respect for the office, respect for the people and respect for democracy.
As much as this meeting is wrapped up in the politeness of protocol, it has hard politics at its heart.